ATLANTA Falcons to win Superbowl +1800 at Pinnacle for .5%
this is a value play for me, and I feel I will be able to sell this prop on the interactives a lot closer to the +1200 and +1300 that I see at other shops right now.
IMO, ATL should be +1000 or less.
2003 schedule:
at DAL
WASH
TB
at CAR
MINN
at ST LOUIS
PHI
at NYG
at NO
TENN
at HOU
CAR
at IND
at TB
JAX
What I'm basically looking at with this schedule is trying to determine how this future's price will fluctuate in the early part of the season. My guess is that this prop will decrease in value as football season nears and more of the public jumps on board- Vick is a public darling.
ATL is a 2pt favorite over Dallas to open the season (I am watching this line like a hawk, as I feel this game can be middled as the public pushes the # to -3.5 or 4, similar to last year's SF/NYG game in week one) and I feel they win that matchup by 3, and beat WASH at home in week 2. Next up is a home game with the defending champion TB Bucs who beat ATL twice last year. This game is crucial to the value on my prop, and ATL will be up for this game. If ATL goes 2-0 then beats TB, I should be seeing 10-1 or less for me to SELL the prop on the interactives. If ATL loses, I dont think the prop loses too much value, more later.
this is a value play for me, and I feel I will be able to sell this prop on the interactives a lot closer to the +1200 and +1300 that I see at other shops right now.
IMO, ATL should be +1000 or less.
2003 schedule:
at DAL
WASH
TB
at CAR
MINN
at ST LOUIS
PHI
at NYG
at NO
TENN
at HOU
CAR
at IND
at TB
JAX
What I'm basically looking at with this schedule is trying to determine how this future's price will fluctuate in the early part of the season. My guess is that this prop will decrease in value as football season nears and more of the public jumps on board- Vick is a public darling.
ATL is a 2pt favorite over Dallas to open the season (I am watching this line like a hawk, as I feel this game can be middled as the public pushes the # to -3.5 or 4, similar to last year's SF/NYG game in week one) and I feel they win that matchup by 3, and beat WASH at home in week 2. Next up is a home game with the defending champion TB Bucs who beat ATL twice last year. This game is crucial to the value on my prop, and ATL will be up for this game. If ATL goes 2-0 then beats TB, I should be seeing 10-1 or less for me to SELL the prop on the interactives. If ATL loses, I dont think the prop loses too much value, more later.